The following paper about the prediction of long-term photovoltaic power generation has been recently accepted for publication by Renewable Energy.
Liu, Z., J. Guo, X. Wang, Y. Wang, W. Li, X. Wang, Y. Fan, and W. Wang. Prediction of long-term photovoltaic power generation in the context of climate change. Renewable Energy, accepted on August 28, 2024.
More details will come soon once the paper is published.
Title: Quantitative assessment of The Group of Seven’s collaboration in sustainable development goals
Journal: Nature Communications
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-51663-5
Abstract: Strengthening international collaboration is essential to achieving the United Nations’ SDGs. The Group of Seven (G7) is recognized for acting and enhancing cooperation to achieve the SDGs. However, the current understanding of G7’s cooperation is rather subjective without quantitative measurements. Here we show a comprehensive and quantitative analysis of G7’s cooperation with regards to the economic and environmental SDGs over the period of 2000-2020. The results suggest that G7 countries have all contributed positively to economic indicators thanks to their closely binding relationship. By contrast, significant discrepancies and uncooperative performances in environmental indicators have been revealed. Particularly, Canada and Germany have shown considerable negative synergy contributions to environmental indicators, which might offset the positive contributions brought by France and Italy and lead to an overall negative synergy. Our results highlight the need for further collaboration among G7 to tackle emerging environmental issues, such as climate change and shrinking biodiversity.
Title: Pluvial flood modeling for coastal areas under future climate change – A case study for Prince Edward Island, Canada
Journal: Journal of Hydrology
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131769
Abstract: It has been increasingly understood that pluvial flooding poses a substantial risk to numerous communities across the globe. This is especially relevant for the Canadian province of Prince Edward Island (PEI), which is susceptible to a compound flood consisting of both inland and coastal flooding. Despite various studies, a comprehensive pluvial flood model still lacks that addresses the complex interplay of compound floods. Therefore, this research aims to bridge the gap in flood mitigation by developing a pluvial flood model for PEI’s coastal communities. The Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves under current and future climatic conditions were used to portray rainfall intensity over the study area corresponding to 10-year, 25-year, 50-year, and 100-year return periods. In addition, a hydraulic model (HEC-RAS 2D) was used to drive pluvial flood maps based on two configurations, including detailed flood maps for major municipalities and an island-wide level. The validated results showed consistency in model simulation when compared to observations. The high-resolution flood maps produced by this study can support the development of flood mitigation and adaptation strategies in PEI and other parts of the world.
Title: Spatiotemporal and weather effects on the reproductive success of piping plovers on Prince Edward Island, Canada
Journal: Ecology and Evolution
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.11581
Abstract: Piping plovers (Charadrius melodus sp.) rank among North America’s most endangered shorebird species, facing compounding environmental challenges that reduce habitat availability and suppress recruitment and survival rates. Despite these challenges, research on the direct effects of climate variability and extremes on their breeding ecology remains limited. Here, we employ a spatiotemporal modelling approach to investigate how location, nest timing and weather conditions influence reproductive success rates in a small breeding population of C. m. melodus in Prince Edward Island (PEI), Canada from 2011 to 2023. Analysis of 40 years of monitoring records from a subset of nesting sites revealed that flooding and predation have been persistent sources of reproductive failures in this population, with unexplained losses increasing in recent years. Contrary to our hypotheses, our modelled results did not support a negative impact of extreme high temperatures and strong precipitation events on reproductive outcomes. Instead, we identified a positive effect of TMAX and no effect of strong precipitation, perhaps due to limited exposure to extreme high temperatures (>32°C) and context-specific risks associated with precipitation-induced flooding. However, trends in regional climate change are likely to increase exposure to—and the influence of—such factors in the near future. Our models also identified spatiotemporal variability in apparent hatch success over the study period, as well as worse hatch outcomes across popular beachgoing regions and for delayed nesting attempts. While our results offer preliminary insights into factors affecting breeding success in this population, further research will be imperative to enhance understanding of constraints on recruitment. To this end, we encourage the collection and analysis of additional time-series data of prey populations, human activities, fine-scale weather data and predator/flood risks associated with each nest on PEI.
Title: China’s onshore wind energy potential in the context of climate change
Journal: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2024.114778
Abstract: China has great potential for developing renewable energy to achieve its carbon neutrality goals. Orderly development of renewable energy is essential to enhance resource utilization efficiency and ensure safety during the energy system transition process. This study presents a thorough assessment of China’s onshore wind power potential by considering the land suitability, the potential and temporal characteristics, and the impacts of climate change. The high-resolution maps combining wind resources with land conditions and climate scenarios are produced to provide insights into system planning, grid integration, and flexibility management. The results show that the capacity potential of onshore wind energy in China is 9.6 TW with an annual generation of 12.6 PWh, and 83 % of total capacity has a cost advantage with the levelized cost lower than the 60 $/MWh threshold. By comprehensively considering geographical, economic, and social criteria, around 8.1 % of the national territorial area is identified as the most suitable area for wind power development, primarily in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang. The annual electricity generation from these areas can fulfill nearly 69 % of the nation’s electricity demand. Future climate change projections indicate a remarkable generalized drop by 18 % in the north and a slight increase by 7 % in the south under the RCP 8.5 scenario. However, significant changes in wind resources are mostly within restricted areas, suggesting that future climate change would like to bring negative but limited impacts on wind power production in China.