The following paper about drought projections over Loess Plateau, China under future climate change has recently been accepted for publication by Earth’s Future:

Sun, C., G. Huang, Y. Fan, X. Zhou, C. Lu, and X. Wang. Drought occurring with hot extremes: changes under future climate change on Loess Plateau, China, Earth’s Future (AGU, SCI IF = 4.59), accepted on April, 2019.

More details will come soon once the paper is published.

Title: Hydrologic Impacts of Ensemble-RCM-Projected Climate Changes in the Athabasca River Basin, Canada

Journal: Journal of Hydrometeorology

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0232.1

Abstract: In this study, the Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS) and the Regional Climate Model (RegCM) system as well as the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrologic model were integrated into a general framework to investigate impacts of future climates on the hydrologic regime of the Athabasca River basin. Regional climate models (RCMs) including PRECIS and RegCM were used to develop ensemble high-resolution climate projections for 1979–2099. RCMs were driven by the boundary conditions from the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model, version 2 with Earth system configurations (HadGEM2-ES); the Second Generation Canadian Earth System Model (CanESM2); and the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Earth System Model with MOM (GFDL-ESM2M) under the representative concentration pathways (RCPs). The ensemble climate simulations were validated through comparison with observations for 1984–2003. The RCMs project increases in temperature, precipitation, and wind speed under RCPs across most of the Athabasca River basin. Meanwhile, VIC was calibrated using the University of Arizona Shuffled Complex Evolution method (SCE-UA). The performance of the VIC model in replicating the characteristics of the observed streamflow was validated for 1994–2003. Changes in runoff and streamflow under RCPs were then simulated by the validated VIC model. The validation results demonstrate that the ensemble-RCM-driven VIC model can effectively reproduce historical climatological and hydrological patterns in the Athabasca River basin. The ensemble-RCM-driven VIC model shows that monthly streamflow is projected to increase in the 2050s and 2080s under RCPs, with notably higher flows expected in the spring for the 2080s. This will have substantial impacts on water balance on the Athabasca River basin, thus affecting the surrounding industry and ecosystems. The developed framework can be applied to other regions for exploration of hydrologic impacts under climate change.

The following paper about regional climate modeling over China with PRECIS has recently been accepted for publication by Climate Dynamics:

Junhong Guo, Guohe Huang, Xiuquan Wang, and Yongping Li. Improved performance of a PRECIS ensemble in simulating near-surface air temperature over China (Manuscript ID: CLDY-D-18-00437), Climate Dynamics (Springer, SCI IF = 3.774), accepted on November 14, 2018.

More details will come soon once the paper is published.

The following paper about hydroclimate modeling over the Athabasca River Basin, Canada has recently been accepted for publication by AMS’s Journal of Hydrometeorology:

Xiong Zhou, Guohe Huang, Joseph Piwowar, Yurui Fan, Xiuquan Wang, Zoe Li, and Guanhui Cheng. Hydrologic impacts of ensemble RCMs-projected climate changes in the Athabasca River Basin, Canada (Manuscript ID: JHM-D-17-0232), Journal of Hydrometeorology (American Meteorological Society, SCI IF = 3.790), accepted in November 2018.

More details will come soon once the paper is published.